View Full Version : Dem's vs. Replicans
kmhowe72
10-23-2006, 11:53 AM
Who's going to take the congress? place you bets and explain why
Captain Obvious
10-23-2006, 01:13 PM
I picked Republicans. I really have no idea what will happen, I'm not big into politics.
Archangel
10-23-2006, 01:43 PM
The Republicans will maintain control of the House for sure, and hopefully the Senate. The Radical Left is once again screaming like it's all over but the majority of Americans still fear their cut and run attitudes, their promises for higher taxes, and their interest in giving all types of benifits to illegal aliens such as licenses,free medical, and free college tuition.
The Left should just be open about their motto, "We are reprobate, hear us roar." :howling:
Michele
10-23-2006, 07:24 PM
The Republicans will. Why? Because Americans are too stupid to vote Independent.
Terrell
10-23-2006, 07:36 PM
I think that the Dems will gain seats, I don't know if the Dems take control though.
kmhowe72
10-23-2006, 07:57 PM
The Republicans will. Why? Because Americans are too stupid to vote Independent.
I thought there is only one independent. and if Joe L. is relected won't that make two??
Archangel
10-23-2006, 08:14 PM
I think that the Dems will gain seats, I don't know if the Dems take control though.
This is how I see it too. And to Michele, I wouldn't mind seeing more independants get elected either. A strong third party would help keep the other two honest which is why the other two wont allow a third party to take hold.
Terrell
10-23-2006, 09:04 PM
I thought there is only one independent. and if Joe L. is relected won't that make two??
Yes, James Jeffords of Vermont is also an Independant. I think Bernie Sanders is also an Independant, but he's in the House.
ArcticPhoenix
10-23-2006, 10:59 PM
Democraps and Repubicans (the l was left out for a reason) are both stupid, and it would be nice for there to be more independents. Better yet, we should demolish our party system and all stand independently on our OWN platform, rather than "with the crowd".
Shawn
10-24-2006, 11:20 AM
we should demolish our party system and all stand independently on our OWN platform, rather than "with the crowd".
Agreed. This exclusive 2 party system is eerily like political incest. Each election that goes by it gets more strange, inbred, exaggerated and problematic.
It seems that if even 10% of voters could agree on one independent some change might be sparked. Hell, you could get 10% extra voters easily just from the majority that abstain.
Def.I.Nition
10-24-2006, 12:15 PM
The latest polls show Dems with anywhere from a 13 to 18 point lead (http://www.pollingreport.com/2006.htm). A Newsweek poll (http://mparent7777.livejournal.com/13725462.html) shows that a majority of Americans now favor the impeachment of the President. But as my brother says, the Democrats are a lot like the New Orleans Saints football team: they have an uncanny ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. In that regard, there is some good news, the Saints are 5-1. But like the Saints there is still a whole lot of time to ruin the year. I don't like to predict victories for the Saints, I consider that bad luck. I won't predict victory for the Democrats either. But I have my hopes.
Terrell
10-24-2006, 07:28 PM
The problem with the polls, at least as far as the House of Representatives is concerned is that it doesn't take Gerrymandering into consideration. For the Senate, it also needs to take into consideration which seats are up for a vote, and the polls in those particular states. Last but definitely not least, it doesn't take into account turnout.
kmhowe72
10-24-2006, 08:38 PM
I didn't know there were two already. Wow
Def.I.Nition
10-25-2006, 10:54 AM
The problem with the polls, at least as far as the House of Representatives is concerned is that it doesn't take Gerrymandering into consideration.
You're right about the generic poll not necessesarily translating into victory at the polls. However, analysts are expecting the Dems to pick up between 20-27 seats. That would mean Democratic victory. The numbers, across the board, are worse for this Republican Congress than the Democratic Congress in 1994 when the Republicans picked up 40 seats. The problem, of course, is that gerrymandering has gotten so much better that a pick up of that many seats is virtually impossible.
For the Senate, it also needs to take into consideration which seats are up for a vote, and the polls in those particular states. Okay. here's what the polling looks like in the key battleground states for the senate. The Democrats have statistically significant leads in three of nine states. They need to pick up three of the remaining six states for the Democrats to take the Senate. A month ago few people gave the Dems a chance of taking the Senate. Now those odds are 50:50.
Last but definitely not least, it doesn't take into account turnout. Turnout is a key. This is another area where Democrats have an advantage. Howard Fineman of Newsweek was on MSNBC a couple of days ago and said that a poll they have in the field now is showing that there is a growing gap between Democrats and Republicans as to who is likely to turnout. Democrats hold an advantage here.
Archangel
10-25-2006, 12:19 PM
You're right about the generic poll not necessesarily translating into victory at the polls. However, analysts are expecting the Dems to pick up between 20-27 seats. That would mean Democratic victory. The numbers, across the board, are worse for this Republican Congress than the Democratic Congress in 1994 when the Republicans picked up 40 seats. The problem, of course, is that gerrymandering has gotten so much better that a pick up of that many seats is virtually impossible.
Okay. here's what the polling looks like in the key battleground states for the senate. The Democrats have statistically significant leads in three of nine states. They need to pick up three of the remaining six states for the Democrats to take the Senate. A month ago few people gave the Dems a chance of taking the Senate. Now those odds are 50:50.
Turnout is a key. This is another area where Democrats have an advantage. Howard Fineman of Newsweek was on MSNBC a couple of days ago and said that a poll they have in the field now is showing that there is a growing gap between Democrats and Republicans as to who is likely to turnout. Democrats hold an advantage here.
I must compliment your positive attitude def, but it's more of wishful thinking than objective analysis that your giving us here. And the reason I say that is because your sources are so slanted toward the left they make the leaning Tower of Piza look straight. :howling: Wait till November 7th and see how many normal, main stream Americans vote in comparison to the tiny minority that makes up the loud and rambunctious Radical Left.
Even Conservative Americans like me who hate the War, like me, aren't going to abandon all hopes af an America to defend ourselves by electing Pacifists and anti National Defense Liberals to both Houses of Congress. Just wait and see. This whole hate the Republicans smear campaign is totally contrived in the minds of Political Gurus on the left and have no bearing on the ballot box in the real world.
The Left will never win back power by condemning the Right. They must actually say what they will do to improve things and that is what they can't do because all of their ideas will destroy the National Economy, our National Security and our National Defense and the average American knows that.
kmhowe72
11-08-2006, 05:40 AM
Well it's happen the cems as some of us predicted have won the the congrass.
the Left will never win back power by condemning the Right.
Interesting that you say this. 90% of the flyers, door to door campaigning and calls that came to our house were the republicans. Much of what they had to say was condemnation of the democrats. I heard so little of the opposite (left condeming the right) and maybe that was because the right wing and it's high profile supporters have been so good at shooting themselves in the foot lately that there is no need to kick them when they are down.
At any rate, I guess the small liberal loudmouth group has been joined with the more moderate and even some conservatives who have simply had enough. A message was sent and will continue to be sent. I hope the people who were elected make some good changes and prove themselves regardless of the party.
kingclick
11-08-2006, 09:18 PM
Is a "Replican" like a conservative leprechaun? Or is it something out of Star Trek like a tribble?
I would LOVE the replica(n)s to win. How cool would it be to have the free world run by cyborgs? Then maybe Arnie could be the next President! Yeah!! :D ;)
Terrell
11-08-2006, 11:10 PM
I would LOVE the replica(n)s to win. How cool would it be to have the free world run by cyborgs? Then maybe Arnie could be the next President! Yeah!! :D ;)
Ahnold is one of the few R's I could actually consider voting for, since he's a political moderate, but he's barred from running (for President) by our Constitution because he's not a native born American. For him to run we would have to Amend the Constitution to allow naturalized citizens to run.
Ahnold is one of the few R's I could actually consider voting for, since he's a political moderate, but he's barred from running (for President) by our Constitution because he's not a native born American. For him to run we would have to Amend the Constitution to allow naturalized citizens to run.
Geesh Terrell, did you eat an extra bowl of Kill-a-Joke this morning? ;) I was kidding - a smartass comment about REPLICAS in power (see OT heading) - you know, cyborgs....Arnie....The Terminator...? *sigh* I do realise he can't actually become president, just like I do actually realise not all republicans are replicas. :D :P
vBulletin v3.6.0, Copyright ©2000-2010, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.